Change is an intrinsic aspect of human existence, driving societies towards progress and development. In Nigeria, the desire for change has been a constant refrain, echoing through the corridors of history and into contemporary times. This article explores the evolution of this change, the demographics clamoring for it, and the underlying dynamics. Are we truly ready for a change?

The History of Change

Historically, Nigeria has undergone significant transformations, from colonial rule to independence in 1960, to various military coups, and the establishment of a democratic government in 1999. Each era of change has been marked by its own challenges and milestones. For instance, the end of colonial rule was a profound change driven by a collective yearning for self-determination, echoing the sentiments of the Indian independence movement. As Mahatma Gandhi famously said, “Be the change that you wish to see in the world.”

Since transitioning to a democratic government in 1999, Nigeria has seen changes in governance styles and leadership from various regions. Over the past 25 years, there have been significant shifts in commodity prices, the cost of basic amenities, and the face of corruption. The Nigerian psyche and composition have also evolved, reflecting these changes.

Age Dispensation of Nigerians Clamouring for Change

The desire for change in Nigeria is most fervently expressed among the youth. This demographic, comprising over 60% of the population, has been at the forefront of advocating for reforms. The #EndSARS movement, which called for the disbanding of a notorious police unit, exemplifies how young Nigerians are demanding accountability and systemic change. This mirrors the energy seen in other global youth movements, such as the Arab Spring or the climate strikes led by Greta Thunberg.

Youthful energy has historically driven change in Nigeria. During the June 12, 1996, crisis, young people were at the vanguard of advocating for governmental change, confronting military authorities. Similarly, the fight for Nigeria’s independence was led by the nation’s founding fathers in their youthful prime. Hence, the youth of a nation are often the catalysts for its change, whether good or bad.

The Capacity for Change

Nigeria’s capacity for change is immense, driven by its youthful population, rich natural resources, and dynamic entrepreneurial spirit. However, this potential is often hampered by systemic issues such as corruption, inadequate infrastructure, and political instability. The transformation seen in countries like Singapore, which transitioned from a developing nation to a global economic powerhouse within a few decades, serves as a testament to what focused leadership and policy reforms can achieve. Lee Kuan Yew, Singapore’s founding father, stated, “The main thing is to have a vision, the will to achieve it, and to be prepared for sacrifice.”

Are we ripe for change? Yes. Are we ready for change? Not yet.

The Little Things that Distract Us

Despite the fervent desire for change, Nigerians often face numerous distractions that hinder progress. These include ethnic and religious divisions, misinformation, and a lack of trust in institutions. Our youth vanguard is often swayed by persuasions lacking in good values or sound logical and moral principles. They engage in fleeting, mundane activities that jeopardize their future and ignore historical contexts and antecedents. Similarly, some elder statesmen and women stoke disunity and discord, spreading false narratives that hinder deep thinking and reflection.

These distractions have become a cancer, threatening national unity and the desired change. Until we look back at history and learn from nations like Rwanda, which has made significant strides in reconciliation and nation-building post-genocide, we will struggle to achieve lasting change. As Nelson Mandela said, “Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world.” Henry Peter Brougham added, “Education makes a people easy to lead, but difficult to drive; easy to govern, but impossible to enslave.” Are we educated as a nation seeking change?

Change: A Short Term Plan or a Long Term Plan?

For change to be sustainable, it must be part of a long-term vision rather than a short-term reaction. Nations like South Korea, which implemented long-term economic and educational reforms, showcase the benefits of strategic planning and forward-thinking leadership. Nigeria’s Vision 2020 aimed to position the country among the top 20 economies in the world. While it fell short in many areas, it highlighted the importance of setting long-term goals and working persistently towards them. As Winston Churchill noted, “To improve is to change; to be perfect is to change often.”

Is Nigeria seeking a quick fix or willing to burn the midnight oil for long-term success? The incumbent president, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, exemplifies long-term planning, having built his political career since becoming Lagos State governor in 1999. Conversely, the Peter Obi and Obedient movement represents a short-term plan, with mixed results reflecting the challenges of rapid change.

Conclusion

The journey towards change in Nigeria is ongoing and multifaceted, requiring commitment from all sectors of society. By learning from historical and global examples, and harnessing the collective energy of its people, Nigeria can navigate its path towards a brighter, more equitable future. Nigeria does not need messianic figures riding populist waves but requires genuine, sustainable solutions. As the Tony Blair Institute of Global Change notes, “The problem with populists is that they raise these issues to rile their base and divide societies. The solutions they promise are fantasies, characterized by vague ideas and unfulfillable promises.” The words of Barack Obama resonate strongly: “Change will not come if we wait for some other person or some other time. We are the ones we’ve been waiting for. We are the change that we seek.” Selah.